ORCL's Last Act: A Technical Analysis of Oracle's Stock Cycle Finale
Discover the full historical technical picture of Oracle, as charts and indicators point to the conclusive stage of its market trajectory.
Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) – Company Profile
Founded: 1977
Headquarters: Austin, Texas, USA
CEO: Safra Catz
Market Cap: Over $300 billion (as of 2025)
Sector: Technology
Industry: Software – Infrastructure
Overview:
Oracle Corporation is a global leader in enterprise software, specializing in database management systems, cloud infrastructure, and business applications. Historically known for its flagship Oracle Database, the company has transitioned aggressively into the cloud space with Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), challenging players like AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud.
In recent years, Oracle has invested heavily in artificial intelligence, machine learning, and autonomous databases, while maintaining a stronghold in ERP, HCM, and CRM software solutions through its Oracle Fusion Cloud suite.
Key Business Segments:
Cloud Services & License Support
Cloud License & On-Premise License
Hardware
Services
Notable Developments:
Acquisition of Cerner (2022) expanded its presence in healthcare IT.
Continued strategic emphasis on integrating AI-driven analytics and expanding multi-cloud partnerships.
Investor Focus:
Strong free cash flow generation
Share repurchase programs
Dividend growth
Strategic cloud migration and AI integration
Technical Analysis
Market cycle applying TIV (Technical Intrinsic Value model)
Was AON a good investment until now??
1st entry 👌
ORCL return - 2.472,12 % CAGR (13.13%)
S&P 500 return - 349.4 %% CAGR (4.93%)
Duration of the investment 26 years
2nd entry 👌
ORCL return - 1.638,46 % CAGR (13.55%)
S&P 500 return - 558,21 %% CAGR (8.13%)
Duration of the investment 22 years
💡 Ideally, capturing both opportunities would have maximized returns. However, even if you arrived late and only seized the second opportunity, the potential for significant outperform against the S&P 500 remained strong.
Final Assessment
In conclusion, our technical analysis of Oracle ($ORCL) suggests the stock is currently riding the final wave of its present cycle. Our robust models indicate this upward momentum could extend to a target of $203.90 USD.
From the current price of $174.02 USD, this represents a compelling upside potential of approximately 17%. However, it is crucial for investors to understand that upon reaching this cycle peak, a strong correction is anticipated.
Oracle has historically proven itself an extraordinary investment, outperforming the S&P 500 by a significant margin over various timeframes.
Knowing where you are in a stock's cycle is paramount to maximizing returns. The ability to identify optimal entry points and, most importantly, strategic exit points, empowers investors to capture the full return potential within a given cycle. Our Technical Intrinsic Value (TIV) model is designed precisely for this purpose providing clarity on the current cycle stage, guiding your entry decisions, and critically, signaling the ideal time to exit your position.
To delve deeper into how the TIV model can equip you with this invaluable market insight, we invite you to explore further here .
Wishing you profitable decisions,
The Symphony of Stock Picking